Archive for the ‘China Stock Market’ Category

Chinese is not evil

In recent days, I read many post which reported some politician and some businessman said some cuss words about China.
At beginning I did not think about is serious, until I heard Ken Lieberthal begin criticize Chinese people, I think this is danger begin.
B4 any my words I had say in China, the most of people hope a democracy and rich United State, So please do not think I am try to criticize USA people.
Mr Ken Lieberthal visit china and said China think China equal footing with USA, and when he open the TV, he found China still play the movie about the war with the JP.I had to say I am disappointed for his words. Actually, in China,the most of people know USA is the number 1 in this world and no any Chinese people hope a failed USA, because that is very danger,but if he hope chinese people do not lover their motherland and think Chinese young man do not pride with their country and cultural tradition,that is impossible, what Chinese young man did is just like what USA young man did, we are the same.And in China the most of chinese people heard Hollywood are shoot a film which full of “KILL CHINESE”, but no any chinese people or chinese official told USA they are wrong and stop play this film…
Of cause I think I can understand Clinton try to let neighboring countries worry about China and many politician said they against the “Monroe Doctrine” in Asia, but Mr Ken Lieberthal is expert who really understand China,not like some official which like say “I understand China more”, He write a book “Governing China: From Revolution Through Reform, second revised edition” at 2004,he is a really expert.
But I found he are criticizeing Chinese people, I can not understand why.
I think in the current,although the war has pasted 65 years, but the movie “Pacific War” are still popular in USA,and actually in China there are not a “big” film which are related with the Pacific War,Chinese people like peace,in the current all the wars which in confusing the global world is not related with China.I had to say I think what he want to say is “Yellow Peril”, Oh, this is danger.
In the beginning 10 years of this century,the most of chinese factory are running for output cheap products for usa people, and when chinese get revenue, although chinese people can not buy a house for themself, but china are still borrowing huge money to Fannie Mae, and investing the usa bond market,so usa people can get huge cheap money from poor chinese people,and In financial crisis, China follow usa magic wand spent huge money to help the global economy recover from the crisis.I can not understand why now Hollywood begin told usa people “KILL CHINESE” and why Mr Ken Lieberthal think chinese people are wrong.
I can not understand why.
I read many many history book, I know china is the number 1 too in a long time,also I know UK is the number 1 for a long time,of cause I understand when you are number 1, you hope you are number 1 forever,but the best way to keep the number 1 is not create enemy one by one.Actually,in 1980s, many many chinese think usa and china is good friend and hope china have the same life model with usa,in 1990s, many young people found the really life is not so romantic,usa aircraft carrier is aim China in China sea,but chinese people hope join the modern society,in 2000s China join all kinds of organization in the world,once they found it existed.I had to say China are trying his best to be a good boy in this world and following the rules which created by usa and other western countries,although we found USA always broken these rules which created by USA.
Chinese people like peace,Chinese is not evil,forever.if someone is really a responsibility expert for the future,please do not play this game so easy,if you always hope find a enemy,they would really be a enemy,if you hope they become a friend and think of cause friend is equal footing with each other,you will owned a really friend.China and USA is so big and so smart,we have not chance to avoid the crisis if we really begin fight with each other.Please respect chinese people,because they are not evil and will become powerful soon.

Can we always win?

I read some report which reported a rich man said no anyone developing country can get support by domestic demand.
I had to say I do not agree this kind of words, china have 1,400,000,000 people, we can not always try to export goods to 6,000,000,000, also now the most of big developing country are try to study east Asia model–Industrialization and export.Also we all know Obama said USA will let export double in next 5 years, we will found this world will become very crowd soon.
Global export are depend the economy increase and transportation costs and so on, but now we face a uncertain future, if the Iran have a war,the oil costs will broken the records, so many factory which export their product to USA will move to Mexico and so on.
I am very tired to hear many rich people said chinese works should not ask increase the salary else their factory had to closed or some rich guy told us all chinese people is error, the price of house will never drop down, or will never drop down 25%, I had to said I feel very unhappy to read these words.Why?
Because china have so huge excess capacity and in financial crisis china is still generate excess capacity, I am worry about if the global economy can not back the old way, these money will become dead money and I had heard some department begin reduce “excess capacity”, although these factory is not running a long time, this is waste money. These money is dead money.
We need let these “excess capacity” running for chinese people, because the most of these young people need merry, born child , play ,relax , study, eat more and enjoy more, but they have no money!
I read report said per chinese just have not more than $1000 in bank, and the price of house need they pay 25 years salary total, what can they doing? The only things they can do it save money into bank and did not buy what they want.In last months, the price of house rise up more than 10% per month.In last 10 years, the price of the house always rise up, I do not understand how can these people do not have a living point, do not have Health Insurance, do not have Social Security and then dead silence?
At the other hand, their have so huge voice told us all chinese is error, for example a Ph.D told us the price of house is not a high level, when they living in USA, every usa people do 6 jobs per day and these USA people are do many job like maid and wash dishes for earn money and ….. per day. So chinese should tear their face and do six job include wash dishes for 30 years to buy a house which is not more then 30M for the whole family.
I am not really tired to hear so many rich people have so loud voice told us the chinese people are wrong. I think we are pig,they are human,why in their eyes we are so stupid?
Follow these words, china had to face financial crisis too, because people have no enough money to buy products but there are so huge excess capacity.I am really fear ,I love my country and culture and my people, I do not hope say the crisis happened in china.
What I want to say is:turn back , increase rate,build Social Security System,let people have money buy house, merry , born child , and build Unemployment benefits system…
So people will begin consume, we can not say it need a long time so we will do not do it in the current.That is a truth lie.
If we do not begin, we will never start the right way.Once you begin move, Roma will understand your foot soon or later.

Also I have a question, can we always win? If we do not increase rate, when we need stimulate economy, what tools can we used?Do not be so greed a man, if you try to win always, you will face a crisis soon or later. Face the truth and protect the most people’s life.

We are not out of financial crisis

I read some bad news, which told us again, we are not out of the financial crisis.One bad news is come from ifeng.com, a reported tell us , in china, the price of the house rise up 68% a year. Also another reported told us, in the current 44% money is owned by 1% people.

Why it is bad news? Now in china , there are huge excess capacity in many industries, but china will find a tighten fiscal in  global. So it is very important let chinese people have enough money buy these product. The diffecault is, people have no money, because the price of the house is the total amount of 25~35 years salary. People had to save money into bank, but bank waste many many money, many money was given to real estate company, we read some repote told us many money is wasted to build some “city” , although these “city” even have not one person living in it after they finished, at the same time and at the same province, The huge drought caused many many people hard to living at the local, the home, the “reason” is no money to repair reservoir! Actually, the most of reservoir is created at the “old china”, we are really have no money in that ages, in the current, just stop build “new city” or we can said “ghost city” because no any one living in it, we have enough money repaire reservoir, the reason is not no money, the reason it these money only offer service for a little people, and these people can get profit for themself from these “project” , although these “project” is no any income for the most people, repair the reservoir only need a little money, but no any specify can get personal profit from it! The money should be used for the most of the people! We need let young man can marry , have house , have money to buy everything, not forced to save in the money,or controled by a little people, the money should putted in the most of the people’s packet,   the distribution system have big problem! It will caused financial crisis become a dead problem!!!

Another bad news is USA have more people lost job, I can not image how USA can go out from the financial crisis with so high a Unemployment rate so long? Could USA always feed so many people which have not job and income? The most important things in USA should be let people find a job, not always use hugh money to  save bank, bank controled the money but now give money to little company so peopel have no jobs, why save bank? Now the banker are asking the highest praise but more and more people lost job! Forgot the nonsense created by FED, high Unemployment rate will stop the “Economic recovery”, not research 1980s , 1990s ,2000s, go back to research 1930s , all countries are fight with the Unemployment rate and the war solved the everything,I feel very strange what are MR Ben doing now?Why so optimism to say everthing will be o.k?

Bad news,We are not out of financial crisis , if we only follow the old way, We can not solved the problem, if in the current we fight with the issue in ourself’s system, we will not need to fight with each other, now we need begin the really reform, stop nonsense, begin change ourself. The best chance of “”Economic recovery”" are lost, we have more things to do now.

G20 – an not completed meeting

G20 closed, I read some report also I some praise in some paper. But I can not find are there anything really be worth to praise?
If we must give a praise, what I only can say is some countries found the truth life, not living the dream or maybe we should say not living in the laying.
Laying? Yes , I am very busy, but Some days ago I read an England economist write an article on FT , he said Europe is wrong because economy have not any moral.
I had to say I feel unhappy because this article, because I can not understand why such a famous economist not tell us how to do anything, no date , no way , no analyse and solution, he was only teach me the economy have not any moral! So how can Europe continue “Helicopter Money” but not pay debt? Also once Europe countries have any trouble, these economist will give these countries a bad rating, it caused financial market closed the door to these countries, and it caused these countries have more strikes and unemployment , the truth is these Europe countries has follow the road which USA told them and these economist’s word, but now they have no money continue “Helicopter Money” , no matter from their country or from the global market! The problem is not moral , this economist should told us what is the solution that he can give these countries now, not only talk about it like GOD, and say “Moral” is none business of economy so easy, I am a pig , he is not a pig, he is a famous economist, in such a difficult ages, we are urgent follow any guide from any economist, what we ask is only it seems like it CAN WORK, this famous economist show us his pretense , I always respect economist, but read this article make me very unhappy!

o.k, come back G20, I had to say G20 can not give we a solution too, the only things is : we come back the real world, not living in the dream. But in real world, nobody give us a solution yet, in next meeting at November , we will meet more difficult,this time ,G20 is an not completed meeting because they are not Consociate. Somebody are try to get the best profit,but in crisis, that is impossible.
If we want to find a solution , we must come back research what happened and what caused the crisis.We can easy to say something that a specify country is a bad country, but the truth is not so simple, if we do not find the real reason and solved this problem, the crisis will come back again and it will become a more big and more difficult crisis, Fudeliman said Second World War solved the problem of “Great Depression”. So economist should find a better way for us to avoid the crisis , what is economy? what is law, what is Politics? The answer is “Human nature”, it decided the way of our life, it decided the economy model, say “MORAL” is none of business with economy, that is real lie.
In China, 44% money is owned by 1% people, a section-level cadres have more then 500,000,000 money but his salary is only 2000 per month , what he did is only buy 35 Luxury Residential, but no anyone living these Luxury Residential , these money is “DEAD MONEY”, he can not consume these money, in the other hand, there are many many many young people have no money to marry(news paper said the number is 100,000,000), have no money buy house,have no money to hospital have no money watch TV set and WORLD CUP, have no money to study skill to find a job, why not let these young man own some money? So excess products will have some customer to buy and use it.
Should we only let 100% money owned by 1 people and let all of other people become monkey? When the word “Economy” born, it own “moral” property.
Yes, When the word “Economy” born, it own “moral” property.This is the truth. What we should to do is stop beauty and pretense words, begin do something find back BALANCE.
What we should do it very simple: Let enough people have enough money and enough social protect to become customer. USA and Eruo just have 800000000 Consumer, china,india,afric or Islamic world , each of them have more than 1,000,000,000 prople,the most of Consumer desire of them never be Sufficed, also  USA can not only use 80% money to save bank but let these bank “Freeze The Market” , if these bank can not give enough money to middle and little company, they can not invest on high risk area.Because financial is based on real industry and real life,actually financial can not always really generate money from internal system. Like obama said, USA can not only depend financial.Also USA can not become the only bigest customer in the world, The world should not only have one center, USA should accept Asia, Africa , America become the center of the world too,also we should keep all kinds of Cultural tradition, the world should not only have ONE VOICE & ONE POWER & ONE COUNTRY MONEY,we should give power to United Nations and Consult in the United Nations, else we will drop into another crisis later.
Stop the war and the record military spending , save money and people for new technology to let earth can support more countries and more peoples can have a rich life ,save money for let more peoples and countries have more power and shared more money. The economy will get strong driving force in 21th.
The good news is we come back the real world,the bad news is we have no a really reforming leader and power.
Again, I am not against “Helicopter Money”, I had said it can not works 2 years ago, I am against “Helicopter Money” to keep old failed way, the most important thing is how to share “Helicopter Money” , how to use it. For the most of people or just for a little people.We are losing the chance to avoid the next crisis, do not believe economist living the Federal Reserve,I had heard many many times “economist is god” , or “economist know everything” , no, if they really know everything , we will not meet crisis, people is god, people know everything, follow your feeling and say old loudly, maybe we can find a solution can works.
By the way, I believe the internet should be free and open, so people can say their real feeling loudly, this is a ruby asset. But I am sorry I found I always traced by my ISP-> “CHINA Telecommunications”, I can not use ftp,any new ftp accountin any hosting will be timeout status in the begin 2~3 days,my friends can login out of china, but I can not login at begin 2~3 days, if I login a new blog account,once I signed in, I will can not visit this URL , only 2 days later, I can signed this blog, I do not know what they are doing, but the day before yesterday I try to install a internet software, javascript can not works,it waste my fully day until I go out and use another ISP, I can not believe, but seems “CHINA Telecommunications” like a hacker? Who can teach me how to avoid  it happened again?

Trend-W? U?L? -LOST BALANCE

Yesterday I read a news which said a offical said the stock markt should begin rise up, the lSHANG HAI Index is closing the bottom(Now is 2521).

I think maybe I understand why he say it,but I think that is not the most important things and is not runing a right way…, I am admire and respect his courage, as a official , he can open mouth and say out his forecast, in the current, not many official dare to do it, but maybe what we need to do is face the main contradiction, there are no shortcut. The most important things is not guess  the bottom,or the point of the stock market.

I heared another news which said 12 GB economist said Euro will collapse, REALLY?! Also I read some news in which somebody begin to guess again are we in a W trend?

It seems in the same time , there are hopefulness and pessimistic in the diffirent area of the world. But maybe the truth is not like what they said.Actually in the last 2 years, we lost the valuble chance to avoid the crisis and seems we are continue losing the chance.

2 years ago ,I said “Helicopter Money” can not work, because the most important issue is  we lost balance.

“LOST BALANCE” , yes .

In china, we shed huge money , but the result is the price of the house rise up quickly, some news said in their city, the price of the house rise up 15% in one month. The most of people said they have no money to buy a house, because the price of the house equal the total amount of 25 years salary. Many news paper said the report show : In China, the 1% people own the 41% asset .In the same time , many many young people can not find a job. We shed so hugh money, the price of many vegetable is double of the last year. We shed so hugh money, but  banks give money to big company, these little company is hard to get money, so these big company use people’s money to buy the land in the highest price, and little company had to close. But please remember, in this country 70% job is offered by middle and little company! ALSO, we shed so hugh money, the debt of the government rise up CRAZING! We all remember , just a few years ago, we use another hugh money to let these “bad assests” disappear from the “Balance Sheet Of The Bank” , but, the really OWNER of these money in these Balance Sheet is PEOPLE, PEOPLE PAID FOR THESE BAD ASSETS! No anyone get punishment for these “bad assets” , the loster is people, now the debt rising up crazing, this time, how to avoid hugh “bad assest” ?

In USA, many bank get huge money from the country, because they is too big , so they can not failed or closed. These money is come from the people , But the CEOs are asking  get  hugh payment for profit , we are still in crisis, right? Also these bank is not intersted give money to these company which create new job, because they are face “RISK” of crisis, maybe these company will cause these bank lost money, But these bank taken people’s money to invest in HIGH RISK MARKET! The truth is not the RISK, the TRUTH IS PROFIT AND GREED. The price of the socks is not controled by chinese factory , it is crontroled by wallstreet, these smart investor use hugh money to control the price of the materials, oil, cotton.

The most important things in economy is let people can get job, get money from their work, can use these moeny to support their life , become customer . In crisis, we DO need do things to remove the roket before out road, but more important thing is to choose a correct road. “Helicopter Money” = continue “LOST BALANCE” . We can not always “Helicopter Money” ,or we can not in one hand shed “Helicopter Money” but in another handwaste these “Helicopter Money” . We need use these “Helicopter Money” to help the most of people, not a little . Economy is build via the most of people, not a little.

If the price of these materials continue rise up, as we all know, in many country , their people can not earn 2$ or 1$ a day, there will more and more confusion, conflict, dead ,war in the world. As we all know, in USA, poverty line is more than $15000:

The 2009 Poverty Guidelines for the
48 Contiguous States and the District of Columbia

Persons in family	Poverty guideline
1	$10,830
2	14,570
3	18,310
4	22,050
5	25,790
6	29,530
7	33,270
8	37,010
For families with more than 8 persons, add $3,740 for each additional person.

So Inflation is not a big problem for richer country, but it is a deadly problem for poor country. “Helicopter Money” = Inflation .

In last year, the “Military expenditure”  in this world create a new record ,  the cost is $1530000000000 !!! Are we still in the CRISIS, are you sure? Can you believe?

If we do not face lose job, lose banlance and only “Helicopter Money” to support little greed people or just waste these “Helicopter Money” , “Helicopter Money” = dead , there will have more and more conflict in the world.

I am not against  “Helicopter Money” , I am against “LOST BALANCE” , if we find balance, these money is valueble, it will not wasted else “Helicopter Money” =
CRISIS .

If you say we are in crisis, find the balance.

Chinese shares drop down 5 percent today

Today, chinese SHANG HAI stock marker drop down 5 percent , in afternoon, there are even a 7% drop down happened. At the end , SHANG HAI Index closed at 3266  which eat the rise up in last week, this is the most drop down in last 8 months.

Before today, a new share listed in SHEN ZHEN GEM, which been   pushed to 7 tims of the price of IPO, but today when a huge share –”Chinese Architecture” listed , it’s price drop down the price of IPO, this is chinese market,  a hot and a cold market at the same time.

Today, PE of Shang HAI is 28 and PE of SHEN ZHEN is more than 40, the price is really too high, because it is far away from the AVG of the global market, although the number of china gdp looks good, but Overcapacity is really a problem need to solved, if the economy of global can not rise again, Overcapacity will begin a big problem for china.

In a short time, chinese shares rise more than 100% , the drop down is a revise for the trend of the first half of year. Investor or Speculation? It seems select Speculation maybe a good choice for short term.

On the other hand, if stock market drop down , maybe somebody which like Speculation will begin speculate house market, it is not a good news for chinese people.

“

China stock market face choose

This week,chinese stock market face a choose,Because China goverment said there will have a huge investe plan before 2010 year,china stock market begin a rise trend with big volum , but after ShangHai Index over 2000 point,there always have a 5%~7% up and down in day trader,many investor said their heart will broken,but they did not know how to control their option:sale or buy or just keep shares in hand or just keep watch what will happen and stay away of the market?
I think although there will have a huge investe plan,but this is not for this year,and there have many report that some company face hard condition,so we can not hope index will up directly,because there have many kinds of thinks,many guess of economy deverloper of next year,these thinks and guess will shown in market,so we must know how to trade in short perior trade,and know how to control risk,we must prepare for the lose , maybe our trade option is error,so we must control our money,it you not a expert of short trade,maybe you should not use full of your amount to trade,because if you can not control your money,you can not control your heart too,the index wave will control your warry and greed,so you will more and more make mistake.so,just control your heart,from now on,the 1st step is control your money.

Chinese stock market,dive over again

One hour before,chinese stock market dive over again, SHANGHAI share index plunged 6.32 percent on Monday,I had report dive over in last thursday,since that day china goverment had take action to suppoer the weak market,for example reduce the tax of stock market,and I know some trader told metheir manger said only can buy shares now,do’t sale out.But shares dive over again.
Investor heard many news from economic slowdown,we know foreign trade is slowdown and some big company is closed,and many investor take care of foreign stock market,they use HengSheng Index in Hong Kong market as a referrence.
Now after many investor and media said “2000 point losed”,”1900 point losed”,today,news paper will say “1800 point losed”,now index closed at 1723 point,nobody know what will happend tomorrow.
China investor report in 2008-10-27

China:stock price plummeted 2.63% in morning session

Today chinese stock market continue fall trend,although china government announces some new policy,including
tax exemption and mortgage deposits reduction for boost the real estate sector,and reduce the tax of exports sector,but because fear of the global financial crisis
and bad data of company income,many people sale out their share.
At the same time,I found some big stockjobber are continue buy share.Actually,the PE of china stock market is in the low level in history.I think it means the people’s cognition of market trend is dividing,So there will have more wave int the market.

Chinese shares continued to fall

 

(bird ‘s nest)

Alough Olympic game will open after two days,Chinese shares express very weak,I buy 3 kinds of  shares and lose more than 6 percent money in the market.

Now ShangHai Index is closed at 2690,It had declined 50 percent in this year.Chinese Economy is face Crossroads,Can turn left or can trun right.I think the most important things  is export,Consumer,tax,Asset prices and innovation,After 2008 olympic maybe we can see some new policy.

I belive there will have some chance in the priod of 2008 olympic games.