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Natural rubber into the seasonal decline in the city – period – Financial Highlights – Sina Sina

Posted on Jun-03-2008· by

Shanghai Dayin Wang Weibo

中期趋势转入震荡回落走势中，国际市场，海外美元胶以及新加坡市场3号烟片胶与20号标胶的大幅度滑落，均显示一段时间的供应紧张的格局正在逐渐改变，随着时间推移，期货市场提前发现价格的预期，预示着未来割胶季节，胶价整体将呈现出偏弱状态。 Last Friday, Hujiao futures Dieting, on the same rubber futures dropped significantly, sensitive to the futures market prices reversed the trend indicates that natural shocks fall into the medium-term trend trend in the international market and overseas market and the Singapore dollar plastic on the 3rd Yan Pianjiao standard plastic on the 20th and the sharp slide show that a period of tight supply situation is gradually changing, as time goes by, the futures market ahead of the expected price discovery indicates that the future Tapping season, will show a whole Jiaojia A weak state.

The past week, Hujiao futures has brought us a long-hoped-for passion, the previous Friday to Monday consecutive limit, limit of three long-hoped-for state, then a high level of放量stagnation, a downturn in prices downward, and even Friday's Dieting. It is clear that the experience of the market for the supply of short-term speculation, the market is gradually return to reasonable.

Simply look at recent trends, from the weekly's skyrocketing Hujiao; Wednesday to Tuesday's inability to Chonggao high Thursday, Friday announced that the way while Dieting-season rally of mortality. Two consecutive Friday, Hujiao futures market interpreted the冰火两重天the market, May 23 Friday in the long Hujiao the strong promotion of the strong limit, May 30 Friday, was in the overnight crash Drag, making the plastic Dikaidizou Hujiaotiaokong down, in one stroke after Dieting. May 27 The third panel mortality limit,放量Hujiao 809 contract transactions 810,000 in the initial formation of a high放量changing hands, the major longs quietly Jiancang dispersal of funds, short-term loss of frenzied speculation investment to do more价值. May 28 -29, the two consecutive trading day high of consolidation, to continue changing hands, the new and more at a loss intervention, the old and more quietly withdrew, the same plastic in the Elevated after experiencing steep and rapid plunge into, Friday, Plunged 16 yen, plastic, Hujiaodieting.

Natural rubber this strong seasonal movements of goods, will once again return to a seasonal decline in the trend, even in a bull market, 7,8,9,10 four months of each year the peak of supply, will be brought to the market The supply of heavy pressure. All fundamentals of profitable information has been included in the soaring prices in Shanghai on May 27-29 meeting of the derivatives, the author of the breakout of natural rubber remained to see more investment point of view put forward its own view that the completion of Jiaojia Limit the rate of close to three, the cumulative rise in energy gradually failure, the tight supply fundamentals have been reflected in a high enough price. At the same time period into June, the new plastic listed on the period, the supply will be gradually restored, increased pressure on the supply, will also continue to reflect in the market, so Jiaojia the trend will face a period of seasonal correction, The rate of decline will depend on supply and the recovery of the global commodity market as a whole changes.

Looking investors, despite the current trend of downward adjustment will be unavoidable, despite this year's global rubber production has become a foregone conclusion the city, but the actual stage in the fall is also a very healthy performance. Because the changes in the situation of supply and demand fundamentals, I believe it is very hard for this year Jiaojia return to the region in recent years low of 20,000 yuan – 18000 yuan / ton range, down Tapping test period of low prices has started.

chinainvestor:本版contents of the article was supplied by MarketWatch, does not constitute investment advice. Investors this operation, own risk.

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